Known-Commotion
0xd43ea3546a44326ec77faf1c51bf86b729ed3604
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$399.29
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$2.52
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 20?
48 shares @ 69.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$45.60
$12.48
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 20?
61 shares @ 59.9¢·now 61.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$37.33
$0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on May 20?
85 shares @ 38.9¢·now 42.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$36.22
$3.07
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on May 20?
36 shares @ 80.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$32.58
$3.78
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on May 20?
73 shares @ 44.3¢·now 37.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$26.94
$-5.30
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on May 20?
29 shares @ 79.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$23.05
$0.14
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 20?
22 shares @ 86.0¢·now 96.4¢·exp May 20, 2026$21.56
$2.33
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on May 20?
29 shares @ 67.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$19.29
$-0.14
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on May 20?
42 shares @ 42.9¢·now 43.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$18.19
$0.24
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on May 20?
25 shares @ 75.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$18.13
$-0.63
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on May 20?$14.06May 20, 05:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on May 20?$8.41May 20, 05:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on May 20?$2.90May 20, 05:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on May 20?$23.34May 20, 05:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 20?$9.90May 20, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 20?$4.04May 20, 05:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on May 20?$1.00May 20, 05:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on May 20?$10.00May 20, 05:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on May 20?$0.65May 20, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C or higher on May 20?$17.13May 20, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on May 20?$2.26May 20, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on May 20?$9.10May 20, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 20?$3.98May 20, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on May 20?$1.83May 20, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on May 20?$8.10May 20, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on May 20?$1.26May 20, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on May 20?$19.03May 20, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on May 20?$5.04May 20, 05:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 20?$24.75May 20, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on May 20?$1.87May 20, 04:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $8.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 02:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 05:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".