Ornery-Childhood
0xd4796d1c5b47f9113dfd5ac4c6280e6cd482801d
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
175
Open notional
$1.9M
Total PnL
$3.6K
Realised
$1.9K
Win rate
88%
40 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 175- NO
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
1200017 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$1.2M
$600.01
- NO
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
400030 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$399.8K
$200.01
- NO
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
300024 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$299.9K
$150.01
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 22?
4822 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$4.8K
$3.42
- YES
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $305-$310 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?
716 shares @ 9.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$715.60
$650.51
- YES
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $380-$385 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?
358 shares @ 9.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$357.72
$325.18
- YES
Will Meta (META) finish week of May 18 above $600?
343 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$342.55
$3.82
- YES
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $425-$430 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?
326 shares @ 9.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$325.78
$296.15
- NO
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of May 18 above $280?
278 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$277.86
$0.14
- YES
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $136-$138 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?
270 shares @ 9.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$269.87
$245.32
Recent activity
- MERGEWill Meta (META) close at >$660 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?$39.00May 22, 20:19 UTC
- MERGEWill Meta (META) close at $650-$660 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?$13.91May 22, 20:19 UTC
- MERGEWill Meta (META) close at $630-$640 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?$248.00May 22, 20:19 UTC
- MERGEWill Meta (META) close at $620-$630 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?$259.00May 22, 20:18 UTC
- MERGEWill Meta (META) close at $590-$600 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?$32.91May 22, 20:18 UTC
- MERGEWill Meta (META) close at $580-$590 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?$194.91May 22, 20:18 UTC
- MERGEWill Meta (META) close at $570-$580 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?$198.76May 22, 20:18 UTC
- MERGEWill Meta (META) close at <$570 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?$22.91May 22, 20:18 UTC
- CONVERSIONMeta (META) closes week of May 18 at ___?$260.00May 22, 20:18 UTC
- MERGEWill Tesla (TSLA) close at $460-$465 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?$27.00May 22, 20:17 UTC
- MERGEWill Tesla (TSLA) close at $455-$460 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?$28.74May 22, 20:17 UTC
- MERGEWill Tesla (TSLA) close at $450-$455 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?$252.00May 22, 20:16 UTC
- MERGEWill Tesla (TSLA) close at $445-$450 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?$275.00May 22, 20:16 UTC
- MERGEWill Tesla (TSLA) close at $435-$440 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?$260.00May 22, 20:16 UTC
- CONVERSIONTesla (TSLA) closes week of May 18 at ___?$325.94May 22, 20:16 UTC
- MERGEWill Netflix (NFLX) close at $70-$80 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?$80.52May 22, 20:15 UTC
- MERGEWill Netflix (NFLX) close at $60-$70 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?$21.53May 22, 20:15 UTC
- MERGEWill Netflix (NFLX) close at $50-$60 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?$16.27May 22, 20:14 UTC
- CONVERSIONNetflix (NFLX) closes week of May 18 at ___?$122.88May 22, 20:14 UTC
- MERGEWill Palantir (PLTR) close at $130-$132 on the final day of trading of the week of May 18 – May 22?$259.00May 22, 20:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$781.2K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
May 21, 19:20 UTC → May 21, 19:14 UTC
- BUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$781.2K@100¢May 21, 19:14 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$781.2K
1 trades
30d volume
$781.2K
1 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
$781.2K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $363.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 19:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 20:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 40 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".