0xd4a96bf9158a54a834c2bc4cc2b2f3115045d5e4
0xd4a96bf9158a54a834c2bc4cc2b2f3115045d5e4
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
149
Open notional
$175.15
Total PnL
$-481.56
Realised
$-20.56
Win rate
50%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 149- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
46 shares @ 91.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$40.97
$-0.69
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 3% and 6%?
168 shares @ 12.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp May 25, 2026$22.72
$2.52
- YES
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?
159 shares @ 11.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.29
$4.83
- YES
Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 3% and 6%?
208 shares @ 11.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$14.53
$-8.33
- YES
Will Databricks’ market cap be between $200B and $250B at market close on IPO day?
610 shares @ 0.9¢·now 2.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.43
$8.05
- YES
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
46 shares @ 13.0¢·now 19.8¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$9.04
$3.08
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 34.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.59
$1.72
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
13 shares @ 17.5¢·now 64.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.49
$6.18
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
8 shares @ 37.6¢·now 70.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.58
$2.58
- YES
Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?
17 shares @ 39.1¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.49
$-1.33
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Merab Dvalishvili fight Rob Font next?$0.07Apr 30, 15:49 UTC
- TRADESELLTurkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?$0.84Apr 28, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?$5.85Apr 28, 20:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Dimona by April 30?$0.24Apr 28, 20:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Databricks’ market cap be between $200B and $250B at market close on IPO day?$0.47Apr 28, 20:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Databricks’ market cap be between $150B and $175B at market close on IPO day?$0.05Apr 28, 20:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs?$0.01Apr 18, 06:15 UTC
- TRADESELLGemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?$2.97Apr 16, 19:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple reach $308 in April?$0.07Apr 16, 10:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 0% and 3%?$4.31Apr 15, 10:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs?$7.44Apr 11, 08:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?$2.65Apr 10, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$14.98Apr 8, 21:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$15.79Apr 8, 02:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple dip to $200 in April?$0.06Apr 7, 14:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 4?$10.19Apr 5, 20:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 5.00% and 5.49%?$0.23Apr 4, 15:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027?$5.91Apr 4, 14:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Leon Edwards become UFC champion in 2026?$0.09Apr 3, 21:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?$6.88Apr 3, 11:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $3.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 28, 11:30 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 30, 15:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".