Strange-Creche
0xd4aef53973f29fa1feb3ee36b1b6fe7420d07aa6
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$5.6K
Total PnL
$-4.3K
Realised
$343.71
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1075 shares @ 83.7¢·now 83.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$896.24
$-3.76
- NO
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
827 shares @ 82.2¢·now 81.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$677.20
$-2.80
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6460 shares @ 8.7¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$539.39
$-22.60
- NO
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
464 shares @ 88.8¢·now 88.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$411.44
$-0.56
- CLEVELAND GUARDIANS
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)
576 shares @ 60.8¢·now 60.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$348.39
$-1.61
- PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies
648 shares @ 54.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp May 25, 2026$346.76
$-3.24
- UNDER
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5
700 shares @ 50.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$346.50
$-3.50
- TAMPA BAY RAYS
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)
875 shares @ 40.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$345.63
$-4.38
- YES
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals
618 shares @ 56.6¢·now 55.5¢·exp May 25, 2026$343.07
$-6.93
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3471 shares @ 9.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$314.08
$2.09
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays$50.66May 18, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)$50.58May 18, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies$50.69May 18, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5$50.75May 18, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)$50.90May 18, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals$50.65May 18, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins$76.03May 18, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: New York Mets (-1.5)$75.99May 18, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies$76.03May 18, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays$101.34May 18, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)$303.53May 18, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies$304.14May 18, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5$304.50May 18, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)$305.40May 18, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals$303.91May 18, 15:16 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)$515.35May 18, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?$469.17May 18, 01:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cameron Young win the 2026 PGA Championship?$320.80May 18, 00:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.38May 18, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins$616.33May 17, 23:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $189.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 15:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 16:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".