Chilly-Erosion
0xd4d21a77948f8d6e0ff882bbcb947a48743c65a2
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$8.73
Total PnL
$-15.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
3 shares @ 75.0¢·now 74.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.00
$-0.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?
128 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 25, 2026$1.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
4 shares @ 23.1¢·now 24.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
3 shares @ 37.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.82
$-0.18
- YES
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.75
$-2.25
- YES
Will CA Peñarol win on 2026-05-21?
8 shares @ 39.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMToronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees$1.79May 22, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMAtlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins$1.06May 22, 02:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?$0.96May 22, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?$1.02May 22, 00:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?$1.77May 22, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA Peñarol win on 2026-05-21?$1.02May 22, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYAtlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins$1.00May 22, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA Peñarol win on 2026-05-21?$1.02May 22, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.01May 22, 00:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CA Mineiro win on 2026-05-21?$1.02May 22, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA Peñarol win on 2026-05-21?$1.02May 21, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?$1.02May 21, 23:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?$0.93May 21, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?$1.04May 21, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?$1.02May 21, 23:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.85May 21, 23:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.97May 21, 23:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.97May 21, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYToronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees$1.01May 21, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 21, 23:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $2.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 20:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 02:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".