Broken-Cashew
0xd512f1092543dba882aa2c594127118a720079b3
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
115
Open notional
$3.0K
Total PnL
$-11.9K
Realised
$-201.68
Win rate
55%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 115- YES
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
5527 shares @ 57.2¢·now 26.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.4K
$-1.7K
- YES
Iran leadership change by May 31?
4967 shares @ 13.7¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$372.56
$-307.96
- YES
Iran leadership change by June 30?
1369 shares @ 11.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$191.61
$40.61
- YES
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
36473 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$182.36
$28.49
- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
398 shares @ 32.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$135.32
$7.96
- YES
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
1632 shares @ 9.6¢·now 8.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$130.57
$-25.43
- YES
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
48233 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$120.58
$0.77
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
3622 shares @ 2.8¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$92.01
$-8.99
- YES
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
19961 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$89.83
$43.86
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
353 shares @ 12.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.59
$5.29
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?$1.00May 18, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$1.00May 18, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$10.00May 16, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$30.00May 16, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$18.70May 15, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.01May 15, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.01May 15, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.30May 15, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.10May 15, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.30May 15, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.40May 15, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.19May 15, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.01May 15, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.09May 15, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.15May 15, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.09May 15, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.07May 15, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.15May 15, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.30May 15, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.03May 15, 02:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 02:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 01:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".