Candid-Fairy
0xd537b0f5c27465ebf327430367d0818e5be5bd98
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
53
Open notional
$43.36
Total PnL
$-58.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
19 shares @ 5.2¢·now 38.1¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$7.29
$6.29
- NO
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
7 shares @ 68.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Nov 19, 2026$5.85
$0.85
- YES
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.50
$1.50
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
53 shares @ 59.0¢·now 3.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$2.00
$-29.03
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.92
$0.92
- YES
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
3 shares @ 39.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$1.91
$0.91
- NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.82
$0.82
- YES
No one announced as next James Bond?
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.74
$0.74
- YES
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.22
$0.22
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.18
$0.18
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Israel" or "Gaza" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$1.10Apr 4, 15:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$1.15Apr 4, 15:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$1.28Apr 4, 15:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?$1.41Apr 4, 15:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.95Apr 4, 15:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Job" 20+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$2.56Apr 4, 15:09 UTC
- REDEEMTrump invokes War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026?$2.70Apr 4, 15:09 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$4.17Apr 4, 15:09 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$5.88Apr 4, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$1.00Feb 9, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$1.00Feb 9, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$2.04Feb 9, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$19.59Feb 9, 15:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?$0.00Feb 9, 15:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 6?$0.00Feb 9, 15:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.00Feb 9, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Feb 5, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYGovernment shutdown on Saturday?$5.00Feb 5, 17:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$7.30Feb 5, 17:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?$2.17Feb 5, 16:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $3.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 13:27 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 4, 15:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".