Rich-Guilder
0xd5409b98005415c3d3012f43b28ca043607bf3db
Wallet digest
Activity score
35/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$2.48
Total PnL
$-5.1K
Realised
$-26.84
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on May 20?
50 shares @ 6.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$1.71
$-1.29
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on May 20?
54 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.7¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.35
$-2.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 20?
50 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.32
$-1.68
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C or higher on May 20?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.06
$-0.94
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on May 20?
60 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.03
$-0.97
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 17?
221 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 17?
219 shares @ 20.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
160 shares @ 52.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-84.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on May 17?
153 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$5.01May 20, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$2.06May 20, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$2.09May 20, 05:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$4.71May 20, 05:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$8.74May 20, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 20?$2.08May 20, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on May 20?$4.14May 20, 05:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 20?$9.50May 20, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$4.04May 20, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 20?$4.08May 20, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$3.12May 20, 05:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$0.34May 20, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$2.12May 20, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$2.07May 20, 04:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$0.21May 20, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$2.10May 20, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$3.04May 20, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 20?$2.06May 20, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 20?$2.10May 20, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 20?$1.72May 20, 04:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $2.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 23:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 05:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".