Sour-Pinafore
0xd5621d1d7b5e53b6b5a3d6d2b79dc3d1358f6912
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$11.23
Total PnL
$-4.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
105 shares @ 9.5¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.76
$-3.24
- YES
Will Republican House incumbents not win in fewer than three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
5 shares @ 0.2¢·now 4.9¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.24
$0.23
- YES
Will Fred Heurtebise win the Republican Primary for U.S. Senate in Michigan?
5 shares @ 0.9¢·now 3.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.15
$0.10
- YES
Will FEARX qualify for EWC 2026?
5 shares @ 0.9¢·now 2.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.13
$0.08
- YES
Will Erin Stewart win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Republican primary election?
5 shares @ 0.4¢·now 1.6¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.08
$0.06
- YES
Will Justin Murphy be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?
5 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.2¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.06
$0.01
- YES
Will Citigroup fail by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.06
$0.00
- YES
Will Brent Barker be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?
5 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.05
$0.00
- YES
GTA VI released before June 2026?
10 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.05
$0.01
- YES
Will Maxx Crosby play for Washington Commanders next?
5 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$0.05
$-0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolas Jackson be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?$0.01May 19, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYStandX FDV above $10B one day after launch?$0.05May 19, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 22?$0.01May 19, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win 30-32 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$0.05May 19, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bolivia replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.02May 19, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chainlink dip to $2 in May?$0.01May 19, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hubert Hurkacz win the 2026 Men's US Open?$0.03May 19, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 200+ posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$0.01May 19, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ollie Watkins be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?$0.01May 19, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chris Wood be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?$0.01May 19, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joao Pedro be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?$0.01May 19, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE?$0.01May 19, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hubert Hurkacz win the 2026 Men's US Open?$0.00May 19, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets in May 2026?$0.01May 19, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.04May 19, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexander Isak be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?$0.01May 19, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deutsche Bank or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$0.01May 19, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill B8 win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$0.01May 19, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill HEROIC win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$0.01May 19, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in May?$0.03May 19, 18:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $0.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 18:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 18:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".