Mushy-Vision
0xd5869e1f53937b3cff2a643d30a2b22f786208e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$5.3K
Total PnL
$-4.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
6181 shares @ 56.6¢·now 55.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$3.4K
$-69.40
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
11441 shares @ 18.8¢·now 9.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.1K
$-1.1K
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
23967 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$179.75
$-0.24
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1622 shares @ 9.2¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$135.46
$-14.53
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11601 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$121.81
$-48.18
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$100.56
$0.56
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
10039 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$75.29
$-124.70
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
61 shares @ 41.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$60.98
$35.98
- YES
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?
2758 shares @ 18.1¢·now 1.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$42.75
$-457.25
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1111 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$17.22
$-2.78
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$103.52May 18, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$103.62May 18, 00:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$155.22May 17, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$102.54May 17, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$25.86May 17, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$104.17May 17, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$104.23May 17, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$104.38May 17, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$105.95May 17, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$5.32May 17, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$26.28May 17, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$26.24May 17, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$26.21May 17, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$5.34May 17, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$5.27May 17, 22:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 17, 00:13 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.71May 16, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 16, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$0.00May 15, 22:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $41.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 17:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".