0xd684582a2fb53504872372b04518d78051a394c0

• YES

  Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

  32 shares @ 19.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026

  $31.78

  $25.74

• YES

  Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

  606 shares @ 4.2¢·now 4.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028

  $29.38

  $3.86

• YES

  Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

  512 shares @ 2.5¢·now 2.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028

  $12.55

  $-0.36

• NO

  Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

  11 shares @ 72.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026

  $7.47

  $-0.38

• YES

  Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?

  96 shares @ 3.1¢·now 4.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026

  $3.98

  $1.01

• YES

  Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

  16 shares @ 17.7¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028

  $2.94

  $0.16

• NO

  Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?

  3 shares @ 95.3¢·now 92.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026

  $2.71

  $-0.08

• YES

  Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

  81 shares @ 2.6¢·now 3.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028

  $2.47

  $0.39

• NO

  Will the Democrats win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?

  2 shares @ 93.0¢·now 96.6¢·exp Jan 1, 1970

  $2.25

  $0.08

• YES

  Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?

  5 shares @ 49.0¢·now 43.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970

  $1.97

  $-0.28

• YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:14 UTC
• YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:12 UTC
• TRADEBUYAny country withdraws from EU before 2027?$1.48May 16, 13:01 UTC
• TRADESELLHamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?$1.04May 16, 12:18 UTC
• YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:11 UTC
• TRADESELLWill Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.62May 15, 09:19 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.09May 15, 07:48 UTC
• TRADESELLWill the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?$1.09May 15, 07:45 UTC
• YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:10 UTC
• YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:12 UTC
• TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$1.03May 13, 09:40 UTC
• YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:11 UTC
• TRADESELLAny country withdraws from EU before 2027?$0.77May 12, 23:21 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?$1.10May 12, 19:20 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$2.93May 12, 15:14 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$4.92May 12, 15:03 UTC
• TRADESELLErdoğan out by December 31, 2026?$8.18May 12, 14:39 UTC
• YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:12 UTC
• YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:12 UTC
• TRADESELLWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.02May 10, 12:19 UTC

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