Whole-Speech
0xd70e6b8c6e3483300275bf743a9cc59bc8400ac1
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$775.50
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$-164.59
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
702 shares @ 61.9¢·now 55.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$388.91
$-45.63
- YES
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?
349 shares @ 77.2¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$337.66
$68.23
- YES
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
1220 shares @ 10.2¢·now 3.6¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$44.53
$-79.91
- YES
Epic Games IPO before 2027?
22 shares @ 37.0¢·now 13.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.92
$-5.22
- NO
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 70.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.49
$0.09
- YES
Will Trump post "Peace in the Middle East" on Truth Social this week? (March 15)
1164 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-372.48
- UNDER
Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5
1089 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-588.06
- FENERBAHCE
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce
1005 shares @ 48.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-491.44
- OVER
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5
723 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-571.17
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 29 be greater than 2,400,000?
319 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-73.37
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?$44.78Apr 23, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?$39.88Apr 23, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?$39.78Apr 23, 08:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 59% and 60%?$0.25Apr 20, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?$109.00Apr 20, 09:47 UTC
- TRADESELLEpic Games IPO before 2027?$1.52Apr 13, 10:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?$13.65Apr 12, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?$89.70Apr 10, 13:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?$6.48Apr 9, 10:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?$81.96Apr 9, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?$269.43Apr 7, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$434.54Apr 7, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?$221.10Apr 7, 10:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the number of US flights delayed on March 29 be less than 6,000?$926.07Mar 30, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the number of US flights delayed on March 29 be less than 6,000?$99.33Mar 29, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the number of US flights delayed on March 29 be less than 6,000?$100.83Mar 29, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the number of US flights delayed on March 29 be less than 6,000?$78.86Mar 29, 13:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hibachi launch a token by June 30, 2026?$21.25Mar 26, 07:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$39.00Mar 26, 04:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?$189.83Mar 25, 15:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $117.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 18:04 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 08:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".