Innocent-Stain
0xd7a6b6bde3240cfee2aa888b425f01447103bfc7
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$640.16
Total PnL
$-211.90
Realised
$2.99
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
458 shares @ 68.5¢·now 61.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$279.32
$-34.15
- NO
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
391 shares @ 64.2¢·now 38.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$148.53
$-102.28
- YES
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
850 shares @ 13.1¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$72.25
$-38.75
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
100 shares @ 40.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$39.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?
105 shares @ 22.9¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.80
$3.80
- YES
Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $1M before 2027?
196 shares @ 20.2¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$26.44
$-13.13
- YES
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
50 shares @ 40.5¢·now 21.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.56
$-9.79
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
100 shares @ 8.9¢·now 9.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$9.50
$0.60
- YES
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?
1582 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.70
$5.54
- YES
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
1228 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.14
$2.46
Recent activity
- TRADESELLGreta Thunberg arrested by June 30?$6.61May 2, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$22.00Apr 15, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$12.00Apr 1, 20:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$0.00Mar 27, 19:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$0.00Mar 27, 19:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$0.00Mar 27, 19:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$0.00Mar 27, 19:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$6.37Mar 27, 19:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$8.57Mar 27, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$4.40Mar 27, 12:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$1.87Mar 27, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$3.80Mar 27, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$3.30Mar 27, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$4.60Mar 27, 11:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$5.52Mar 27, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$3.60Mar 27, 10:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$5.93Mar 27, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$3.40Mar 27, 10:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$4.92Mar 27, 09:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$0.00Mar 27, 09:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $10.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 10:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 2, 17:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".