Watery-Godmother
0xd800b25b4b1737fa326d0eba1267adb71384cf78
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$1.91
Total PnL
$-413.76
Realised
$-0.47
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will John Stephens win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
1274 shares @ 22.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.91
$-285.15
- YES
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?
333 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?
333 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
217 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-47.71
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
118 shares @ 41.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-48.51
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
33 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.13
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
32 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.75
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
24 shares @ 24.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill John Stephens win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?$227.06Apr 3, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Stephens win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?$60.00Apr 3, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$1.00Mar 9, 15:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$17.15Mar 9, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$40.00Mar 9, 15:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$14.11Mar 9, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$10.00Mar 9, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$10.00Mar 9, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$8.00Mar 8, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$0.95Mar 8, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$0.67Mar 8, 19:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$13.49Mar 8, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$10.00Mar 8, 19:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$13.53Mar 8, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$10.00Mar 8, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$1.00Mar 8, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$2.00Mar 8, 19:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$14.62Mar 8, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$10.00Mar 8, 19:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$21.07Mar 8, 19:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $16.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 7, 20:46 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 3, 15:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".