Sophisticated-Gander
0xd81431e96b2dc36863c2064d38a14a603d1a7f65
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$9.8K
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$-319.34
Win rate
56%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 14.3¢·now 18.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.8K
$381.71
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.7K
$70.00
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 13.0¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.1K
$-164.99
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 8.7¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$904.99
$35.12
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 9.6¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$834.99
$-124.91
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 7.0¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$825.00
$120.06
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 5.5¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$515.00
$-39.99
- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
750 shares @ 58.2¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$438.75
$2.25
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 3.4¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$344.99
$2.31
- NO
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
500 shares @ 58.1¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$292.50
$2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$29.86May 18, 02:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.97May 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$88.10May 17, 04:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.96May 17, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$88.10May 16, 06:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.97May 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$88.10May 15, 16:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.97May 15, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$89.59May 14, 12:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.97May 14, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?$0.00May 13, 17:53 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)$0.00May 13, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$58.73May 13, 16:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.96May 13, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$88.10May 12, 11:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.96May 12, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$88.10May 11, 01:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.95May 11, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$88.10May 10, 06:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.93May 10, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $103.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 02:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".