Ignorant-Artifact
0xd824b8bf5805302e0d477aca87dd6c15effb528b
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$2.6K
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$492.97
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?
990 shares @ 81.3¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$657.86
$-147.01
- NO
Will Millonarios FC vs. CD Tolima end in a draw?
622 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$622.00
$161.72
- UNDER
Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 3.5
590 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$590.00
$147.50
- NO
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
578 shares @ 81.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$511.53
$43.35
- NO
Will Trump say "Putin" during events with Rutte?
166 shares @ 28.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$166.00
$119.52
- OPENAI
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
300 shares @ 34.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$94.50
$-7.50
- YES
Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
12 shares @ 18.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$3.24
$1.08
- NO
Will USD.AI launch a token by April 30?
2618 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-324.63
- YES
Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia end in a draw?
971 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-310.72
- YES
Will Keir Starmer say "Affordable" or "Affordability" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
728 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-334.88
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$4.80Apr 27, 08:18 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$40.80Apr 27, 08:18 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$49.44Apr 27, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?$468.18Apr 23, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Millonarios FC vs. CD Tolima end in a draw?$460.28Apr 23, 13:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBrian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?$27.59Apr 21, 08:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill North West release an album by December 31?$52.75Apr 21, 08:41 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$0.84Apr 21, 08:26 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$6.00Apr 21, 03:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBrian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?$250.80Apr 13, 16:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?$210.80Apr 13, 16:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?$714.75Apr 13, 16:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lovable be acquired before 2027?$67.66Apr 13, 15:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lovable be acquired before 2027?$172.55Apr 13, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?$274.92Apr 13, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?$200.83Apr 13, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?$680.96Apr 13, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 3.5$442.50Apr 13, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lovable be acquired before 2027?$153.92Apr 13, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lovable be acquired before 2027?$72.16Apr 13, 12:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $212.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 15:06 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 08:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".