Sticky-Authorisation
0xd86d264660459541fceb820478dd96b1db4d9ce1
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$6.3K
Total PnL
$252.09
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
4179 shares @ 93.1¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.1K
$224.98
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1205 shares @ 84.2¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$15.58
- NO
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
1106 shares @ 86.5¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$968.12
$10.73
- NO
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?
202 shares @ 97.8¢·now 98.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$198.63
$0.81
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?$197.82May 23, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade another country in 2026?$352.00May 22, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade another country in 2026?$88.00May 22, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade another country in 2026?$176.00May 22, 21:20 UTC
- TRADESELLIran nuclear test before 2027?$805.98May 22, 21:15 UTC
- TRADESELLIran nuclear test before 2027?$400.20May 22, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$840.22May 16, 18:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$816.07May 16, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$526.48May 9, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$18.90May 9, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$8.25May 9, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$243.03May 9, 02:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?$821.25May 2, 14:14 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?$0.00Apr 21, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?$576.93Apr 20, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?$1.71Apr 20, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?$227.82Apr 20, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?$13.00Apr 12, 19:45 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$819.46Apr 9, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$817.82Apr 5, 23:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $237.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 9, 03:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 01:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".