0xd8bcf0b7c03348686607d6e59abd74edff5967e2
0xd8bcf0b7c03348686607d6e59abd74edff5967e2
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$18.3K
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$25.23
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
16384 shares @ 59.3¢·now 60.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.9K
$199.06
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
4700 shares @ 66.1¢·now 60.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$2.8K
$-264.71
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
2000 shares @ 66.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.9K
$530.00
- YES
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
2500 shares @ 62.8¢·now 42.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$1.1K
$-507.10
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
1700 shares @ 62.5¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$994.50
$-68.50
- NO
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
800 shares @ 91.2¢·now 91.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$730.80
$1.20
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$515.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
280 shares @ 60.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$252.00
$84.00
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
1500 shares @ 11.0¢·now 7.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$107.10
$-57.40
- PANATHINAIKOS
Valencia vs. Panathinaikos
1201 shares @ 34.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-419.34
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.14May 18, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$1.5KMay 17, 03:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Albania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$4.0KMay 17, 02:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$260.00May 17, 02:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Moldova be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$100.00May 17, 02:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$5.6KMay 17, 01:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$17.10May 17, 01:16 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$9.73May 17, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 17, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$4.65May 16, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$1.12May 16, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$11.54May 16, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$17.30May 16, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$17.75May 16, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$141.00May 16, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$81.31May 16, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$11.96May 16, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$55.64May 16, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$106.50May 16, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$7.09May 16, 22:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $132.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 15:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".