Substantial-Setting
0xd92f5d6a14d6ea3d009ed1455ad587959c78acac
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$105.59
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$8.31
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Switzerland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?
588 shares @ 17.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$97.06
$-2.94
- YES
Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
10 shares @ 97.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$8.53
$-1.27
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 12?
50754 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-97.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 4?
14169 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-133.99
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on May 4?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?
9358 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-94.66
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 5?
7390 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-47.68
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 13?
2644 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 14?
2303 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 4?
1274 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-45.37
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 21, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$0.82May 21, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 21, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$3.72May 21, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 21, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$0.45May 21, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$40.39May 21, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$12.32May 21, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$4.48May 21, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$16.80May 21, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$6.93May 21, 17:32 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - May 21, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$86.20May 21, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 21, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$39.03May 21, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 21, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$4.06May 21, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 21, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$6.90May 21, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?$102.49May 21, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$39.67May 21, 01:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 18?$51.39May 20, 23:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 18?$25.06May 20, 23:28 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - May 20, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$89.29May 20, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 20, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$13.85May 20, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 20, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$23.08May 20, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 20, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$4.74May 20, 23:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $12.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 16:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 19:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".