Blond-Wriggler
0xd950ef37b32702061d63e44a8475c360193cad1b
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
152
Open notional
$16.6K
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$321.57
Win rate
58%
76 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 152- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
1392 shares @ 91.5¢·now 94.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.3K
$40.17
- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
1500 shares @ 59.8¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$220.24
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
1000 shares @ 95.3¢·now 96.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$962.50
$9.50
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
1121 shares @ 71.5¢·now 77.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$862.80
$61.86
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
900 shares @ 94.4¢·now 94.2¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$847.35
$-2.05
- NO
Iran leadership change by May 31?
800 shares @ 92.7¢·now 93.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$744.00
$2.00
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
800 shares @ 93.6¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$740.00
$-9.00
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1000 shares @ 70.6¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$685.00
$-21.00
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
620 shares @ 80.2¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$486.70
$-10.54
- NO
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?
556 shares @ 80.6¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$484.05
$35.59
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?$12.92May 18, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?$8.50May 18, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$0.25May 18, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.50May 18, 08:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$105.76May 18, 08:42 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$33.51May 18, 08:36 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 18?$980.00May 18, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession by end of 2026?$90.00May 18, 08:24 UTC
- MERGEWill Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?$100.00May 18, 07:58 UTC
- MERGETamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$119.99May 18, 07:58 UTC
- MERGEIran closes its airspace by May 21?$200.00May 18, 07:58 UTC
- MERGEUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$400.00May 18, 07:58 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?$1.00May 18, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by May 31? $5.10May 18, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$0.25May 18, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$50.40May 18, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$0.25May 18, 05:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$50.00May 18, 05:10 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$39.85May 18, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$11.00May 18, 04:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $121.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 19:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 76 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".