Well-Made-Descendant
0xda63b03e953ee7c60962c6a46c1e12a78eb7b031
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
53
Open notional
$9.6K
Total PnL
$-33.8K
Realised
$320.91
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- NO
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
2714 shares @ 88.7¢·now 91.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.5K
$77.70
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
2456 shares @ 77.4¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.1K
$224.26
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
1000 shares @ 92.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$955.01
$35.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 69.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$924.94
$234.98
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
932 shares @ 78.4¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$768.60
$37.74
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
500 shares @ 83.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$447.50
$32.50
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
500 shares @ 82.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$437.50
$27.50
- NO
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?
854 shares @ 23.4¢·now 27.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$234.74
$34.74
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
274 shares @ 77.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$234.11
$23.27
- NO
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
233 shares @ 92.7¢·now 97.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$226.92
$10.58
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs$101.56May 15, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-05-17?$101.62May 15, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia (Doubles): Harrison/Skupski vs Arevalo/Pavic$100.39May 15, 15:29 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner$0.00May 15, 15:28 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs$0.00May 15, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?$100.77May 15, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?$102.90May 15, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner$0.00May 15, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs$0.00May 15, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?$102.05May 15, 15:26 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner$116.57May 15, 15:26 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs$434.78May 15, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner$100.43May 15, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs$100.93May 14, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs$201.86May 14, 21:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$399.59May 14, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBordeaux: Aleksandar Vukic vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard$102.04May 14, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?$103.18May 14, 14:32 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A$202.31May 14, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?$103.31May 13, 21:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $63.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 00:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 15:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".