Unrealistic-Balloonist
0xda66002efd0eb8be14f6bf052ad98ff858754aee
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$137.12
Total PnL
$-580.00
Realised
$-0.07
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 20?
106 shares @ 89.5¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 20, 2026$105.76
$10.76
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 21?
31 shares @ 80.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$25.78
$0.78
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 21?
6 shares @ 95.0¢·now 97.9¢·exp May 21, 2026$5.58
$0.16
- WIZARDS
Wizards vs. Celtics
495 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-37.69
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
395 shares @ 49.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-196.87
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on April 21?
110 shares @ 92.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-101.61
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on March 30?
91 shares @ 65.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-59.41
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on April 2?
62 shares @ 79.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-49.49
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 6?
42 shares @ 35.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 27?
34 shares @ 73.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-24.77
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 20?$10.05May 20, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 20?$10.05May 20, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 20?$25.12May 20, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 20?$25.12May 20, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 21?$15.15May 20, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 21?$10.10May 20, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 20?$10.05May 20, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 21?$5.42May 20, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 20?$15.10May 20, 01:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$53.76May 20, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$50.10May 19, 19:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?$53.44May 18, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?$20.04May 18, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?$20.03May 18, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?$10.03May 18, 12:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 18?$15.51May 17, 23:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 18?$15.16May 17, 22:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on May 17?$42.99May 17, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 19?$22.15May 17, 10:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on May 17?$42.94May 17, 09:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $18.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 07:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 03:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".