Burly-Constraint
0xda7f3c2e054914af91a50f98a7c755ac6e9a2425
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$278.64
Total PnL
$-18.0K
Realised
$104.95
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
554 shares @ 21.5¢·now 21.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$119.01
$0.01
- NO
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
154 shares @ 27.5¢·now 52.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$80.32
$37.88
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?
944 shares @ 13.3¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$37.77
$-88.23
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?
750 shares @ 6.7¢·now 4.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.57
$-17.43
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027?
760 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.56
$-25.44
- YES
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
59 shares @ 17.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.41
$-5.59
- YES
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
53142 shares @ 29.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-15.8K
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?
34130 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-66.52
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?
12836 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-25.99
- YES
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 100-114 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
2784 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-583.99
Recent activity
- TRADESELLTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$300.41May 18, 07:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 3, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$19.64May 2, 14:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 2, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc vs. FCSB end in a draw?$20.43May 1, 18:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $169.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 15:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".