Ill-Nonconformist
0xdaae2dc338cdcfe9853f6c8727b9e58de1b8fa80
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
91
Open notional
$38.68
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$-26.90
Win rate
33%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 91- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
36 shares @ 64.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$36.48
$12.92
- YES
Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
4407 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$2.20
$-6.61
- YES
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
25387 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.77
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
15431 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-30.86
- YES
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?
14460 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-28.92
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
14447 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-28.89
- YES
Will Utah State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
10250 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.25
- YES
Will Ja Morant win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
6230 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-6.23
- YES
Will Villanova win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
6215 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-6.21
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
5711 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-11.42
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$24.14May 20, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 20, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$25.73May 20, 12:05 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$3.83May 18, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$50.94May 18, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$41.99May 11, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$19.88May 11, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$4.89May 11, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$42.37May 10, 08:00 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$75.26May 10, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$51.17May 10, 03:36 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$3.67May 8, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$25.53May 8, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$25.72May 8, 07:30 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$8.53May 7, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$3.36May 7, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$28.08May 7, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$8.44May 7, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$2.12May 7, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$3.75May 7, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$3.75May 7, 09:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $27.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 08:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 19:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".