Vigorous-Kneejerk
0xdafa6039d1ec95c5b541394748fb1cbce48b9f46
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
49
Open notional
$462.57
Total PnL
$-229.21
Realised
$12.71
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
207 shares @ 58.6¢·now 85.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$177.22
$55.77
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
150 shares @ 30.7¢·now 46.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$69.62
$23.62
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
76 shares @ 66.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$45.08
$-4.92
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
37 shares @ 21.9¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$31.78
$23.64
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
40 shares @ 63.1¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$28.31
$3.31
- YES
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
24 shares @ 83.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$21.08
$1.08
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
28 shares @ 52.7¢·now 56.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$15.85
$1.05
- NO
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
15 shares @ 65.6¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$14.09
$4.09
- NO
Will Hibachi launch a token by September 30, 2026?
19 shares @ 53.4¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$13.39
$3.39
- YES
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
37 shares @ 27.1¢·now 31.8¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$11.72
$1.72
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$3.97May 18, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$1.06May 18, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$2.11May 18, 11:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$7.95May 18, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$1.05May 18, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$2.09May 18, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$1.04May 18, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$1.03May 18, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$2.13May 18, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$1.06May 18, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$1.06May 18, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$2.11May 18, 10:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$10.77May 18, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$1.05May 18, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$1.05May 18, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$2.09May 18, 10:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$7.74May 18, 10:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$4.72May 18, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$2.12May 18, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$1.06May 18, 10:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $4.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 21:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 11:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".