Respectful-Deduction
0xdafdc201e4a769c4424462f9210763b221da2ad4
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$39.93
Realised
$0.40
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C or higher on May 20?
1300 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$1.3K
$0.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 71°F or below on May 20?
200 shares @ 85.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 20, 2026$198.70
$28.70
- NO
Will Hong Kong have less than 180mm of precipitation in May?
145 shares @ 65.8¢·now 73.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$106.18
$10.53
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 20?
42 shares @ 33.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$16.48
$2.54
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on May 21?
444 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 21, 2026$1.55
$-2.88
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 108-109°F on May 19?$0.00May 20, 07:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C or below on May 20?$0.00May 20, 07:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on May 19?$0.00May 20, 07:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on May 19?$0.00May 20, 07:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on May 19?$0.00May 20, 07:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 95°F or below on May 19?$0.00May 20, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C or higher on May 20?$299.70May 20, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C or higher on May 20?$899.10May 20, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C or higher on May 20?$99.90May 20, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 19?$64.07May 20, 03:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on May 19?$32.07May 20, 03:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on May 19?$37.07May 20, 03:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on May 19?$27.07May 20, 03:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on May 19?$27.07May 20, 03:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on May 19?$32.07May 20, 03:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on May 19?$54.07May 20, 03:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or higher on May 19?$1.4KMay 20, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C on May 19?$27.07May 20, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 10°C or below on May 19?$180.15May 20, 03:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C or higher on May 19?$106.00May 20, 03:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $334.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 01:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 07:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".