Cruel-Drainage
0xdb2db92351d569415b0cf55000a71113094e1dc7
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$147.61
Total PnL
$-649.31
Realised
$159.51
Win rate
93%
99 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31 2026?
33 shares @ 47.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.41
$-7.09
- YES
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?
17 shares @ 59.9¢·now 48.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.16
$-2.02
- YES
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
8 shares @ 60.0¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$7.71
$2.91
- YES
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?
11 shares @ 47.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.30
$2.14
- YES
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
12 shares @ 43.0¢·now 56.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$6.72
$1.56
- YES
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
38 shares @ 13.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.31
$1.34
- YES
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?
143 shares @ 4.0¢·now 4.4¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$6.29
$0.57
- YES
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
10 shares @ 53.0¢·now 57.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$5.69
$0.40
- YES
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026
17 shares @ 30.0¢·now 31.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.27
$0.17
- YES
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
7 shares @ 69.0¢·now 68.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.82
$-0.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$6.00May 7, 10:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?$7.00May 7, 10:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$7.18May 7, 10:50 UTC
- REDEEMClavicular pregnancy in 2026?$13.00May 7, 10:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$16.00May 7, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$0.63Apr 28, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Earl Carter be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?$0.05Apr 28, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$3.15Apr 28, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?$5.18Apr 27, 20:23 UTC
- TRADESELLDatabricks IPO before 2027?$5.40Apr 27, 19:16 UTC
- TRADESELLConsensys IPO closing market cap above $1B?$6.24Apr 27, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?$5.00Apr 26, 08:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$1.19Apr 26, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYClavicular pregnancy in 2026?$5.20Apr 26, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?$0.09Apr 26, 04:06 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: BIG vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs$5.51Apr 25, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: BIG vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs$5.32Apr 25, 22:35 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: BIG vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs$5.04Apr 25, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: BIG vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs$4.90Apr 25, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kansas City Royals win the 2026 American League Championship Series?$6.72Apr 25, 21:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $3.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 05:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 7, 10:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 99 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".