Unknown-Permission
0xdb8d89f4e07844f0f5dce9f24d5e41b6d333aa15
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$7.8K
Total PnL
$-925.41
Realised
$-320.44
Win rate
50%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
3369 shares @ 83.4¢·now 93.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.1K
$325.47
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
2060 shares @ 36.4¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.1K
$330.60
- NO
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
818 shares @ 87.3¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$748.36
$34.07
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4266 shares @ 17.3¢·now 16.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$710.26
$-27.25
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
600 shares @ 89.3¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$555.29
$19.50
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
4560 shares @ 14.8¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$524.38
$-149.08
- NO
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
2679 shares @ 37.2¢·now 12.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$321.51
$-674.55
- NO
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
204 shares @ 16.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$148.03
$115.40
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
400 shares @ 34.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$126.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?
146 shares @ 57.6¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$89.87
$5.61
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.15May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.15May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.15May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.15May 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.15May 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.15May 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.15May 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.15May 11, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$92.82May 10, 18:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$12.45May 10, 18:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$67.00May 10, 18:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by June 30?$11.70May 10, 08:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.15May 10, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$2.00May 9, 17:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.15May 9, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?$327.99May 8, 18:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.15May 8, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$12.00May 7, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$74.29May 7, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$167.90May 7, 14:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $46.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 16:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".