Well-Off-Crayon
0xdb976ec8f75771f7af08d13546fe3d000867eee8
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$7.9K
Total PnL
$-615.00
Realised
$1.42
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81
6001 shares @ 53.8¢·now 49.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.9K
$-290.80
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
2015 shares @ 62.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.1K
$-112.05
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
2102 shares @ 55.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.1K
$-74.36
- YES
Will MrBeast hit 497 million subscribers by June 30?
1176 shares @ 85.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$964.71
$-35.29
- YES
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?
1075 shares @ 18.4¢·now 36.3¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$390.33
$192.93
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
501 shares @ 42.4¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$353.08
$140.68
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
530 shares @ 60.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$310.05
$-7.95
- NO
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
207 shares @ 65.4¢·now 68.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$140.83
$5.31
- YES
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?
914 shares @ 20.0¢·now 14.8¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$135.22
$-47.69
- YES
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?
972 shares @ 10.8¢·now 10.3¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$100.12
$-4.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$46.18May 17, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$25.24May 17, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?$64.63May 17, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81$262.52May 17, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?$773.65May 17, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$667.92May 17, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$93.74May 17, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$16.47May 17, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?$56.50May 17, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 497 million subscribers by June 30?$1.0KMay 17, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?$445.54May 17, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$453.86May 17, 21:12 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)$60.00May 17, 21:07 UTC
- REDEEM MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano$806.36May 17, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$50.35May 16, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?$27.43May 16, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUY MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano$82.84May 16, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?$43.43May 16, 08:53 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Timberwolves$300.00May 16, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUY MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano$144.10May 15, 20:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $204.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 20:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 21:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".