Grouchy-Dugout
0xdba10a9b40c401c6e47e98a5223801a79a3d8239
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$105.40
Total PnL
$-259.85
Realised
$-10.18
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?
115 shares @ 69.1¢·now 56.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$64.39
$-15.05
- YES
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?
40 shares @ 33.3¢·now 38.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$15.40
$2.10
- YES
Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?
82 shares @ 15.3¢·now 10.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$8.23
$-4.36
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on May 27?
40 shares @ 28.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$7.20
$-4.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on May 27?
44 shares @ 15.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$5.95
$-0.66
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on May 25?
18 shares @ 19.7¢·now 23.5¢·exp May 25, 2026$4.23
$0.68
- YES
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
200 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-74.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 65°F or below on May 23?
90 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.36
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on May 14?
59 shares @ 83.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-49.32
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 22?
50 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on May 27?$6.89May 25, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on May 27?$11.60May 25, 15:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 23?$19.98May 25, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on May 25?$3.69May 25, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?$11.40May 25, 05:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on May 24?$20.71May 25, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?$10.59May 25, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?$3.06May 25, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?$2.40May 25, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?$9.33May 25, 03:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 24?$5.00May 25, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?$2.80May 25, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?$10.05May 25, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 24?$1.72May 24, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?$3.40May 24, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?$3.60May 24, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?$15.40May 24, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?$15.40May 24, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?$15.60May 24, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?$0.39May 24, 19:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $12.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 17:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 15:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".