0xdcb580a47cf98ec8a840a953ebbbb8eedb4ffc00
0xdcb580a47cf98ec8a840a953ebbbb8eedb4ffc00
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
58
Open notional
$30.62
Total PnL
$-309.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- NO
Will Plasma reach $0.60 by December 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 88.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Plasma reach $0.30 by December 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 85.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Plasma reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 88.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.00
$0.00
- NO
Will South America win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 79.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.97
$-0.03
- NO
Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
6 shares @ 82.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.51
$-0.49
- NO
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?
6 shares @ 81.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$4.44
$-0.56
- NO
Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?
3 shares @ 74.4¢·now 59.7¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.60
$-0.40
- NO
Will King Charles say "Mother" or "Mama" during the joint meeting of Congress?
13 shares @ 69.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-8.94
- NO
Will Leavitt say "President" 55+ times during the next White House press briefing?
12 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-8.84
- NO
Will Minnesota Wild advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?
12 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-8.86
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by any margin?$0.00May 17, 18:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by any margin?$6.46May 17, 17:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.00May 16, 08:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$7.00May 16, 08:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Reform UK win at least 2000 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$12.87May 12, 23:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Reform UK win at least 1800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$0.00May 12, 23:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Reform UK win at least 1800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$12.42May 12, 22:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?$0.00May 8, 21:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?$11.55May 8, 21:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?$0.00May 5, 00:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?$0.00May 5, 00:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?$13.75May 5, 00:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?$14.19May 5, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the NYT front-page headlines say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" this week?$0.00May 3, 11:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the NYT front-page headlines say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" this week?$13.73May 3, 10:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the NYT front-page headlines say "Maduro" this week?$0.00May 3, 10:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump name "Zohran" or "Mamdani" in April?$8.41May 1, 11:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $670b on April 30?$0.00May 1, 08:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $670b on April 30?$11.76May 1, 07:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?$7.69May 1, 07:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $8.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 13:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 18:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".