Thin-Flick
0xdd45e705ee2c41bd1d81da5bcb8ed0e8b30259b2
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-263.39
Realised
$121.72
Win rate
74%
35 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
244 shares @ 67.5¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$167.41
$2.31
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-01 House seat?
67 shares @ 93.0¢·now 94.8¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$63.83
$1.25
- NO
Will Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
56 shares @ 70.0¢·now 96.3¢·exp May 19, 2026$54.13
$14.76
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
66 shares @ 3.2¢·now 69.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$45.97
$43.88
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the MD-05 House seat?
48 shares @ 91.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$45.44
$1.68
- NO
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-02 House seat?
49 shares @ 77.6¢·now 83.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$40.71
$2.88
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-02 House seat?
43 shares @ 92.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$40.56
$1.07
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
63 shares @ 4.5¢·now 64.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$40.52
$37.70
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the VA-06 House seat?
45 shares @ 57.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$34.07
$8.52
- NO
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
40 shares @ 77.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$31.64
$0.60
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 8, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$5.00May 7, 00:43 UTC
- REDEEMFC Tōkyō vs. FC Mito Holly Hock: O/U 1.5$5.60May 7, 00:43 UTC
- REDEEMDonte DiVincenzo: Points O/U 2.5$10.02May 7, 00:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 2, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $71.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 04:09 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 35 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".