Honest-Similarity
0xde0463ea7f611b065e8ab06bbfbddad75e6dfa37
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$230.0K
Total PnL
$67.6K
Realised
$65.9K
Win rate
70%
149 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
17059 shares @ 90.2¢·now 98.4¢·exp May 19, 2026$16.8K
$1.4K
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
24706 shares @ 48.4¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$15.7K
$3.7K
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
22258 shares @ 59.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$11.9K
$-1.2K
- NO
Will Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
10002 shares @ 70.2¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$8.6K
$1.5K
- NO
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?
9716 shares @ 80.1¢·now 86.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.4K
$573.42
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
24116 shares @ 23.9¢·now 34.6¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$8.4K
$2.6K
- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
12857 shares @ 36.6¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.5K
$2.8K
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
10822 shares @ 58.5¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$7.4K
$1.1K
- NO
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?
6714 shares @ 86.5¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$6.7K
$895.79
- YES
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
24922 shares @ 18.9¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$5.9K
$1.1K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?$21.36May 18, 05:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-17?$4.0KMay 18, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Swapped" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$68.26May 18, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bento be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$15.00May 18, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?$13.58May 18, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in May?$69.09May 18, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in May?$69.09May 18, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in May?$61.83May 18, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?$5.80May 18, 04:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-05-17?$200.00May 18, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$39.03May 18, 04:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Maverick McNealy finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 PGA Championship?$40.16May 18, 04:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Harris English finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 PGA Championship?$17.32May 18, 04:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Min Woo Lee finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 PGA Championship?$1.8KMay 18, 04:40 UTC
- MERGEWill Andrey Santos be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$101.49May 18, 04:40 UTC
- MERGEWill US Lecce win on 2026-05-17?$101.52May 18, 04:40 UTC
- MERGEWill Endrick be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$103.15May 18, 04:40 UTC
- MERGESpread: Pistons (-4.5)$104.77May 18, 04:40 UTC
- MERGEWill Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?$105.00May 18, 04:40 UTC
- MERGEThunder vs. Spurs$255.48May 18, 04:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $24.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 04:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 149 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".