True-Grandparent
0xde7be6d489bce070a959e0cb813128ae659b5f4b
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$762.2K
Total PnL
$-1.2M
Realised
$242.4K
Win rate
79%
28 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
149621 shares @ 28.9¢·now 59.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$89.0K
$45.8K
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
107094 shares @ 41.3¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$88.4K
$44.1K
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
148689 shares @ 40.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$87.0K
$27.5K
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
83115 shares @ 74.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$63.6K
$2.1K
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
64075 shares @ 60.2¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$62.4K
$23.9K
- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
98137 shares @ 60.1¢·now 63.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$62.3K
$3.3K
- PISTONS
Pistons vs. Cavaliers
49670 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$49.7K
$19.9K
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
521691 shares @ 17.1¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$39.1K
$-50.3K
- CAVALIERS
Cavaliers vs. Pistons
26214 shares @ 9.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$26.2K
$23.8K
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
26234 shares @ 57.6¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$25.1K
$9.9K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$8.52May 18, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$2.95May 18, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$69.00May 18, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$4.26May 18, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$0.92May 18, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$0.92May 18, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$1.1KMay 18, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$6.5KMay 18, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$0.92May 18, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$0.92May 18, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$1.30May 18, 01:32 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$136.46May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$3.62May 18, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$47.42May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Pistons (-14.5)$303.30May 17, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Pistons (-14.5)$1.59May 17, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Pistons (-14.5)$0.27May 17, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Pistons (-11.5)$3.89May 17, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Pistons (-14.5)$1.05May 17, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Pistons (-11.5)$308.00May 17, 23:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $255.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 22:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 02:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 28 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".