Harmful-Biscuit
0xde9bf623062ce0204a8f7422360d2524817e1ae3
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
77
Open notional
$393.11
Total PnL
$-34.81
Realised
$11.08
Win rate
100%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 77- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
112 shares @ 17.9¢·now 18.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$20.39
$0.39
- NO
US recession by end of 2026?
26 shares @ 78.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$18.85
$-1.15
- NO
Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?
15 shares @ 97.5¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.16
$0.16
- NO
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
13 shares @ 91.5¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$11.93
$-0.07
- NO
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
14 shares @ 72.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.86
$1.86
- YES
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
16 shares @ 68.3¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$10.70
$-0.30
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
12 shares @ 82.1¢·now 85.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.36
$0.36
- NO
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?
11 shares @ 93.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.16
$0.16
- NO
Trump out as President by May 31?
10 shares @ 98.1¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.16
$0.16
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
23 shares @ 43.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$10.12
$0.12
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$10.11May 17, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.10May 17, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.27May 17, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.25May 17, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.25May 17, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$10.33May 17, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$10.34May 17, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$1.00May 17, 13:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$16.38May 17, 12:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$12.20May 17, 02:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$10.42May 17, 02:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.90May 17, 02:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$1.12May 17, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$4.55May 17, 01:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$10.24May 17, 01:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?$187.10May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.19May 16, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?$10.01May 16, 17:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $13.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 00:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".