Unruly-Real
0xdeb369871dea34558c3d2069d768f5fcbd2e60cc
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
78
Open notional
$209.58
Total PnL
$4.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 78- YES
US recession by end of 2026?
107 shares @ 26.5¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$29.43
$1.05
- YES
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?
50 shares @ 40.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.50
$-8.50
- YES
ECB rate hike in 2026?
10 shares @ 33.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.25
$5.95
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
10 shares @ 82.5¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.75
$0.50
- YES
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?
10 shares @ 45.5¢·now 86.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.60
$4.05
- NO
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
10 shares @ 76.5¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.55
$0.90
- YES
AI bubble burst in 2026?
35 shares @ 17.9¢·now 23.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.17
$1.89
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
20 shares @ 29.3¢·now 35.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.10
$1.25
- NOTHING
Nothing Ever Happens: March
10 shares @ 12.0¢·now 62.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$6.20
$5.00
- YES
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 2.0% before 2027?
57 shares @ 11.6¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.95
$-0.65
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?$0.85May 16, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?$0.90May 15, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?$0.95May 15, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?$0.90May 15, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?$0.95May 15, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?$1.00May 14, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?$0.02May 14, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?$0.03May 14, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?$0.01May 14, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?$1.00May 14, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?$0.52May 13, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?$0.53May 12, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?$0.02May 12, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?$1.10May 12, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?$0.02May 11, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?$0.01May 11, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?$0.17May 6, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYNegative GDP growth in 2026?$0.21May 6, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYNegative GDP growth in 2026?$0.21May 6, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYNegative GDP growth in 2026?$0.22May 6, 10:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $0.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 21:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 03:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".