Likely-Mobster
0xdf3c3acc5e9e399bf94e76b200d81e78a6426269
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$63.96
Total PnL
$-6.36
Realised
$0.14
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
7 shares @ 89.6¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.89
$0.22
- YES
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting?
5 shares @ 96.7¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$5.26
$-0.02
- NO
Will Catherine McKenney win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?
5 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Oct 26, 2026$5.05
$0.05
- NO
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 94.2¢·now 91.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.88
$-0.12
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$4.37
$0.07
- NO
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?
4 shares @ 95.0¢·now 97.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.11
$0.11
- NO
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?
4 shares @ 98.4¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.04
$0.04
- NO
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
4 shares @ 89.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.57
$0.17
- NO
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?
3 shares @ 95.8¢·now 99.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$3.11
$0.11
- NO
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 96.7¢·now 96.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.07
$-0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting?$5.29May 18, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election called by June 30, 2026?$3.07May 15, 12:16 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$0.00May 13, 23:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?$0.00May 13, 23:21 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?$0.00May 13, 23:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?$3.3KMay 13, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?$4.00May 13, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?$291.71May 13, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?$292.00May 13, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?$147.44May 13, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?$843.56May 13, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?$655.94May 13, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?$837.96May 13, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?$104.88May 13, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?$49.63May 13, 13:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?$2.5KMay 13, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?$2.5KMay 13, 07:38 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.45May 11, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?$953.80May 10, 14:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?$1.1KMay 10, 14:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $391.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 12:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".