Likely-Tinderbox-Elm
0xdf482e3d5d2150a4bf3f587d545e23c2a07d136d
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-75.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
804 shares @ 96.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$723.85
$-47.83
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
500 shares @ 95.1¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 18, 2026$447.50
$-28.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
10 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$10.13
$0.13
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
10 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$10.10
$0.10
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
10 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 19, 2026$10.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
10 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$10.03
$0.04
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
10 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$10.03
$0.04
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
10 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$10.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
10 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$10.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
10 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$10.02
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$470.75May 18, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$4.75May 18, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$773.22May 18, 09:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$10.01May 18, 05:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$3.79May 18, 04:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$0.18May 18, 04:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$20.36May 18, 04:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$20.00May 18, 04:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$1.40May 18, 04:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$5.68May 18, 03:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$22.21May 18, 03:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$14.00May 18, 03:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$2.52May 18, 03:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$2.48May 18, 03:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$7.00May 18, 03:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$1.00May 18, 03:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$1.00May 18, 03:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$18.00May 18, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$24.30May 18, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$5.10May 18, 03:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $59.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 00:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".