Threadbare-Watermelon
0xe01bcad28dc1da91142c3947e399a40e6b69ba2a
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$2.4K
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$-99.73
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Discord IPO before 2027?
1000 shares @ 60.0¢·now 54.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$548.50
$-51.50
- NO
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?
500 shares @ 89.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$496.00
$51.00
- YES
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
500 shares @ 60.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$492.75
$192.75
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?
400 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$396.80
$4.80
- YES
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
400 shares @ 45.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$274.00
$94.00
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
4000 shares @ 32.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$140.00
$-1.1K
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?
525 shares @ 40.0¢·now 2.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$13.65
$-196.39
- NO
Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?
4126 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-99.03
- YES
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$10.00Apr 27, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?$181.22Apr 23, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$0.13Apr 16, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$0.65Apr 16, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$0.16Apr 16, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$0.05Apr 16, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$0.35Apr 16, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$0.19Apr 16, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$0.46Apr 16, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$0.09Apr 16, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$1.76Apr 16, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$0.09Apr 16, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$0.16Apr 16, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$1.09Apr 16, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$0.63Apr 16, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$1.00Apr 16, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$0.50Apr 16, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$0.06Apr 16, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$0.80Apr 16, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$0.20Apr 16, 16:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $97.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 9, 00:01 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 16:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".