Fickle-Grade
0xe0d5e10bdccc78932af31fc2d099cec299192627
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$54.78
Total PnL
$-45.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?
35 shares @ 28.9¢·now 33.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$11.42
$1.42
- YES
Fetterman leaves the Democrats by June 30?
190 shares @ 5.3¢·now 6.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.39
$1.39
- HABS
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Canadiens
19 shares @ 53.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$9.15
$-0.85
- YES
Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?
63 shares @ 16.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.44
$-1.56
- YES
Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?
43 shares @ 23.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.09
$-3.91
- YES
Will Ilya Sorokin win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?
114 shares @ 8.8¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.05
$-3.95
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$2.25
$-7.75
- YES
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?
3333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
212 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- MAMMOTH
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Mammoth vs. Golden Knights
48 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFetterman leaves the Democrats by June 30?$10.38May 11, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYNHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Canadiens $10.14May 9, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$10.48May 7, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nathan MacKinnon win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?$10.21May 7, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?$10.25May 7, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$10.37May 4, 15:28 UTC
- REDEEMNHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning $20.10May 4, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?$10.31May 2, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYNHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Mammoth vs. Golden Knights $10.24Apr 30, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ilya Sorokin win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?$10.27Apr 30, 17:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?$95.50Apr 30, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?$10.00Apr 24, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?$10.00Apr 23, 13:11 UTC
- REDEEMDucks vs. Oilers$0.00Apr 21, 10:41 UTC
- REDEEMSenators vs. Hurricanes$17.02Apr 21, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYNHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning $10.00Apr 20, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSenators vs. Hurricanes$10.00Apr 20, 17:50 UTC
- REDEEMUtah vs. Golden Knights$0.00Apr 20, 11:17 UTC
- REDEEMBruins vs. Sabres$19.63Apr 20, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYDucks vs. Oilers$3.90Apr 20, 01:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $9.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 00:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 12:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".