Appropriate-Grandfather
0xe17a0bfb659a6058bbf39d25d55b4781c2abc6fb
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
58
Open notional
$437.27
Total PnL
$-2.9K
Realised
$-485.00
Win rate
59%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- ANTHROPIC
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
449 shares @ 60.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$307.56
$38.16
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
210 shares @ 38.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$80.85
$1.05
- DUNE 3
Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?
362 shares @ 12.1¢·now 6.4¢·exp Dec 20, 2026$23.17
$-20.63
- NO
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?
65 shares @ 25.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$22.42
$6.17
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
4 shares @ 2.2¢·now 70.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.80
$2.71
- YES
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 13.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.27
$0.14
- NO
Will Solstice launch a token by December 31 2026?
36 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.20
$-1.21
- NO
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 25, 2026?
1826 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-748.66
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 29 be greater than 2,400,000?
1438 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-273.22
- NO
Will there be at least 1775 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
822 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-484.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1775 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?$484.98Apr 23, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?$16.25Apr 23, 12:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?$1.00Apr 15, 08:30 UTC
- REDEEMHouston Cougars vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves$5.50Apr 15, 08:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Toronto Raptors win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?$86.00Apr 15, 08:30 UTC
- REDEEMAnother crypto hack over $100m before 2027?$248.00Apr 15, 08:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$390.00Apr 15, 08:30 UTC
- REDEEMNCAA Tournament: Double-digit seed to make Quarterfinals?$439.00Apr 15, 08:30 UTC
- REDEEMHapoel Tel Aviv vs. Paris Basketball$928.00Apr 15, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYNCAA Tournament: Double-digit seed to make Quarterfinals?$320.47Mar 24, 12:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?$39.10Mar 24, 07:03 UTC
- TRADESELLRemote IPO before 2027?$55.08Mar 24, 06:18 UTC
- TRADESELLRemote IPO before 2027?$225.00Mar 24, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?$40.02Mar 23, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 25, 2026?$748.66Mar 23, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYRemote IPO before 2027?$311.20Mar 22, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend?$43.80Mar 20, 21:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$46.20Mar 18, 16:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$317.10Mar 18, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$514.02Mar 18, 15:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $231.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 16:25 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 14:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".