Sweltering-Policy
0xe1d2f456a0bc188cb67615395a3e9a153a8e0ecf
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-363.55
Realised
$-8.19
Win rate
40%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
900 shares @ 85.4¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$778.50
$10.00
- NO
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
96 shares @ 81.7¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$92.54
$14.21
- NO
Will Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
97 shares @ 82.0¢·now 77.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$74.44
$-4.73
- YES
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?
99 shares @ 20.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.74
$-1.97
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
100 shares @ 25.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.50
$-9.50
- YES
Will Paddy Pimblett fight Charles Oliveira next?
80 shares @ 1.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Mar 1, 2027$12.40
$11.60
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
86 shares @ 45.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.34
$-31.53
- YES
Will Mi, socialisti! (Mi!) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
80 shares @ 1.0¢·now 3.8¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$3.00
$2.20
- YES
Will Databricks’ market cap be between $200B and $250B at market close on IPO day?
100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.14
$1.94
- YES
Will Joe Hunter win Survivor Season 50?
100 shares @ 0.5¢·now 1.9¢·exp May 20, 2026$1.95
$1.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in May?$0.12May 18, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in May?$0.88May 18, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$51.86May 18, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or below on May 20?$0.04May 18, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 20?$0.04May 18, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 18?$0.02May 18, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 18?$0.03May 18, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on May 18?$0.08May 18, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 18?$0.12May 18, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 18?$0.03May 18, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 18?$0.02May 18, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 18?$0.02May 18, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 18?$0.05May 18, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 18?$0.01May 18, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 18?$0.11May 18, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 18?$0.01May 18, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 18?$0.08May 18, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 18?$0.03May 18, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on May 18?$0.12May 18, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 18?$1.08May 18, 01:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $0.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 22:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".