Insidious-Ottoman
0xe1d415e4018407e8ca414a07188bc94c6063a31e
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.23
Total PnL
$-3.7K
Realised
$224.21
Win rate
67%
27 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 26°C or below on May 21?
273 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp May 21, 2026$1.23
$-1.50
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
2123 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-71.43
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?
1238 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-135.88
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?
1155 shares @ 20.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-239.40
- NO
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?
1049 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-50.34
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
865 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.73
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on May 17?
846 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-6.56
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
837 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-32.23
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?
749 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-30.76
- NO
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?
737 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.47
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 20?$0.07May 20, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 20?$4.15May 20, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 20?$1.42May 20, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 20?$0.15May 20, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 20?$5.87May 20, 05:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 20?$1.28May 20, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 20?$4.09May 20, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 20?$6.95May 20, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 20?$17.16May 20, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 20?$2.36May 20, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 20?$1.06May 20, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?$4.08May 20, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 20?$1.55May 20, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?$5.93May 20, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 20?$1.09May 20, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 20?$0.95May 20, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 20?$1.00May 20, 05:26 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump kiss by May 31?$6.67May 20, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on May 20?$4.26May 20, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?$9.20May 20, 03:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $2.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 23:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 06:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 27 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".