Aching-Hardboard
0xe2344c110a0b9fca27d56f1d9f394e1609c0aa6a
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$192.72
Total PnL
$-4.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Hurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch?
100 shares @ 98.8¢·now 95.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$95.70
$-3.10
- YES
Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?
50 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.33
$0.33
- NO
Kurds declare independence from Iran?
50 shares @ 98.2¢·now 95.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$47.70
$-1.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?$22.85May 17, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?$1.66May 17, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?$24.49May 17, 22:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$48.90May 9, 18:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China unban Bitcoin by 2027?$48.05May 9, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYHurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch?$58.29May 8, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYHurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch?$40.51May 8, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin by 2027?$9.44May 7, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin by 2027?$38.56May 7, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$48.90May 7, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYKurds declare independence from Iran?$49.10May 6, 12:36 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?$20.65May 6, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?$20.07Apr 10, 11:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $34.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 11:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 23:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".