Insubstantial-Pudding
0xe2a0d8abc7c0f0c067d9a6fda551c53b9fbe4230
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$99.60
Total PnL
$-6.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 21?
100 shares @ 55.3¢·now 50.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$50.50
$-4.76
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
400 shares @ 4.2¢·now 5.4¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$21.60
$4.80
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
200 shares @ 4.0¢·now 4.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.20
$0.20
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
400 shares @ 2.5¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$5.00
$-5.20
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
400 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$3.40
$0.60
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
400 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$3.00
$0.20
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
400 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$2.60
$-0.80
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
400 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.20
$-0.60
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
600 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$2.10
$-0.30
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
400 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.00
$-0.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 20, 02:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$0.00May 20, 02:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 20, 02:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$0.00May 20, 02:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 16?$0.00May 20, 02:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.00May 20, 02:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.00May 20, 02:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0.00May 20, 02:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 20, 02:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 20, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 21?$56.49May 20, 02:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$200.00May 19, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$104.46May 18, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$66.83May 18, 23:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$100.00May 18, 18:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?$0.00May 18, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.68May 18, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$4.20May 18, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.26May 18, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$10.27May 18, 11:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $18.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 01:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 02:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".