Cylindrical-Cause
0xe33a76226eb570e53095b437f3af03335379d8f7
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$5.1K
Total PnL
$-399.73
Realised
$-421.86
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
2000 shares @ 77.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.8K
$230.00
- NO
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
2000 shares @ 74.3¢·now 88.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.8K
$273.33
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
750 shares @ 80.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$656.25
$56.25
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
1284 shares @ 74.1¢·now 41.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$532.22
$-418.79
- YES
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
10000 shares @ 4.0¢·now 3.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$335.00
$-64.80
- YES
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?
16646 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-47.51
- NO
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 6, 2026?
50 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.36
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$8.39May 17, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$627.99May 16, 22:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$250.91May 16, 22:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$372.64May 16, 22:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$447.75May 16, 22:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$1.4KMay 16, 22:54 UTC
- MERGEWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$0.45May 16, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$884.85May 16, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$64.69May 16, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$813.66May 16, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$70.91May 16, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$2.20May 16, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$137.05May 16, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$354.55May 16, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$12.10May 16, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$449.50May 16, 22:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$40.50May 16, 22:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$105.71May 16, 21:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$34.69May 16, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?$12.77May 16, 20:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $131.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 19:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".