Brilliant-Heritage
0xe35858a1fe00da698d28e8f679606d4834180822
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$481.15
Total PnL
$-14.83
Realised
$28.38
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
US recession by end of 2026?
307 shares @ 29.3¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$81.48
$-8.52
- YES
Fed rate hike in 2026?
211 shares @ 19.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$66.32
$26.32
- YES
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
176 shares @ 32.3¢·now 35.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$62.57
$5.57
- YES
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
184 shares @ 54.4¢·now 29.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$53.27
$-46.73
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
62 shares @ 65.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$43.38
$3.38
- YES
AWS service disrupted by June 30?
113 shares @ 44.3¢·now 37.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$41.79
$-8.21
- YES
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?
221 shares @ 23.5¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$38.69
$-13.30
- NO
Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
113 shares @ 17.7¢·now 23.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$26.02
$6.02
- YES
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?
143 shares @ 14.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$19.29
$-0.71
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
109 shares @ 18.3¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$18.06
$-1.94
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$94.95May 17, 15:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$34.50May 17, 09:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$176.93May 17, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$0.00May 13, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$5.17May 13, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$5.32May 13, 21:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$0.00May 13, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$5.30May 13, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$5.27May 13, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYFlorentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?$20.52May 13, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?$20.82May 13, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYAWS service disrupted by June 30?$51.11May 12, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$25.22May 5, 19:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$71.14May 4, 23:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.00May 3, 11:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on April 17?$30.21Apr 18, 00:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on April 17?$33.76Apr 17, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on April 17?$30.00Apr 17, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on April 17?$25.00Apr 17, 00:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 16?$42.74Apr 16, 18:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $45.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 19:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 15:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".