Arid-Socialism
0xe4819a3493eb473b0f3c92e44f38a638976732a3
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
101
Open notional
$47.21
Total PnL
$-204.17
Realised
$20.81
Win rate
67%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 101- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 23?
16 shares @ 19.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$4.58
$1.58
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 22?
9 shares @ 35.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$3.99
$0.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 23?
8 shares @ 36.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$3.79
$0.79
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 23?
13 shares @ 24.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$3.56
$0.56
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on May 24?
38 shares @ 8.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$3.38
$0.38
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 24?
11 shares @ 28.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$3.05
$0.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on May 23?
7 shares @ 28.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$2.89
$0.89
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 23?
8 shares @ 26.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$2.81
$0.81
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on May 23?
13 shares @ 23.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$2.54
$-0.46
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on May 24?
14 shares @ 21.5¢·now 18.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$2.51
$-0.49
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 22?$1.07May 22, 12:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 22?$1.14May 22, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on May 22?$2.10May 22, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on May 24?$3.12May 22, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 24?$3.11May 22, 10:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 22?$2.43May 22, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on May 24?$3.14May 22, 07:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 22?$0.65May 22, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 24?$3.11May 22, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 23?$3.10May 22, 07:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on May 23?$3.39May 22, 07:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on May 22?$0.95May 22, 07:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on May 22?$6.04May 22, 03:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 22?$2.58May 22, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on May 23?$1.03May 21, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on May 22?$1.03May 21, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on May 23?$1.03May 21, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 23?$1.03May 21, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 23?$2.07May 21, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 23?$3.11May 21, 19:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $2.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 20:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 12:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".