Ancient-Baby
0xe4be3a0788961db3ece918e48bd667fb28053b28
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$4.2K
Total PnL
$-487.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$35.14
- NO
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$935.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?
450 shares @ 88.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$447.98
$51.98
- NO
Trump out as President by March 31?
402 shares @ 94.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$401.99
$22.91
- NO
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
500 shares @ 93.6¢·now 64.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$322.50
$-145.58
- NO
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%?
300 shares @ 95.7¢·now 89.4¢·exp Jan 29, 2027$268.20
$-18.82
- NO
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?
200 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$200.00
$3.08
- NO
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?
200 shares @ 90.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$185.00
$5.00
- YES
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
214 shares @ 83.2¢·now 74.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$158.36
$-19.77
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
400 shares @ 92.0¢·now 33.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$135.60
$-232.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$92.50Jan 2, 20:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?$89.71Jan 2, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?$396.00Jan 2, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?$178.13Jan 2, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?$89.25Jan 2, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?$180.00Jan 2, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?$964.86Jan 2, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%?$6.94Jan 2, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in 2026 be less than 0.5%?$280.08Jan 2, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?$99.18Jan 2, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?$196.92Jan 2, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?$176.00Jan 2, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?$468.08Jan 2, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$368.00Jan 2, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump resign by December 31, 2026?$940.00Jan 2, 09:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jesus Christ return in 2025?$194.61Jan 2, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMMusk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?$1.1KJan 2, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump resign in 2025?$2.1KJan 2, 09:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return in 2025?$932.38Dec 12, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by March 31?$16.06Dec 9, 09:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $411.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 11:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 2, 20:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".