Cumbersome-Care
0xe4d6a2f7a431f2ff351f32be2757b725f41ffdd3
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
50
Open notional
$2.0K
Total PnL
$-3.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- NO
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
1485 shares @ 80.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$942.98
$-245.03
- YES
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
2362 shares @ 9.8¢·now 34.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$803.06
$571.36
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
462 shares @ 79.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$288.75
$-76.23
- YES
Will Jasmine Crockett and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
2681 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$1.34
$-165.70
- YES
Will Jasmine Crockett and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
319 shares @ 18.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.16
$-58.86
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.7% in February?
4182 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-132.38
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% in February?
2277 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-99.13
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?
2235 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-108.25
- YES
Will Donald Trump attend Super Bowl LX?
1542 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-33.94
- YES
Will Lionel Messi attend Super Bowl LX?
1329 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-77.63
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$220.00Apr 9, 16:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Project Hail Mary" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$29.00Mar 26, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$156.20Mar 11, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Project Hail Mary" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$26.72Mar 11, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 2.6% in February?$8.04Mar 9, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by ≥2.7% in February?$4.68Mar 9, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by ≥2.7% in February?$39.11Mar 9, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 2.6% in February?$12.75Mar 9, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by ≥2.7% in February?$15.63Mar 9, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 2.2% in February?$2.47Mar 9, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by ≤2.1% in February?$3.04Mar 9, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 2.3% in February?$60.00Mar 9, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by ≤2.1% in February?$4.81Mar 9, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 2.2% in February?$7.36Mar 9, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by ≥2.7% in February?$7.10Mar 8, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by ≥2.7% in February?$10.71Mar 8, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 2.6% in February?$7.52Mar 7, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by ≥2.7% in February?$1.80Mar 7, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by ≥2.7% in February?$3.86Mar 7, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by ≥2.7% in February?$5.78Mar 6, 17:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $33.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 17:48 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 9, 16:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".